American Axle Valuation

AXL Stock  USD 7.98  0.01  0.13%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. American Axle Manufa shows a prevailing Real Value of $8.61 per share. The current price of the firm is $7.98. Our model approximates the value of American Axle Manufa from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of 0.0628, and Profit Margin of 0.01 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting American Axle's valuation include:
Price Book
1.3168
Enterprise Value
B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
4.1612
Price Sales
0.1624
Forward PE
11.3895
Undervalued
Today
7.98
Please note that American Axle's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of American Axle Manufa is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing American Axle's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the American stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of American Axle Manufacturing. Since American Axle is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of American Stock. However, American Axle's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  7.98 Real  8.61 Target  9.78 Hype  7.98 Naive  7.55
The intrinsic value of American Axle's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence American Axle's stock price.
8.61
Real Value
11.79
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of American Axle Manufacturing helps investors to forecast how American stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of American Axle more accurately as focusing exclusively on American Axle's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.140.170.24
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.807.9811.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.377.5510.73
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
8.909.7810.85
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use American Axle's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of American Axle's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against American Axle's closest peers.

American Axle Cash

667.63 Million

American Revenue by Product

American Axle Total Value Analysis

American Axle Manufacturing is presently anticipated to have company total value of 2.95 B with market capitalization of 947.2 M, debt of 2.74 B, and cash on hands of 552.9 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the American Axle fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.95 B
947.2 M
2.74 B
552.9 M

American Axle Investor Information

About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.32. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. American Axle Manufa last dividend was issued on the 4th of December 2008. The entity had 117:1000 split on the 5th of October 2018. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from American Axle's historical financial statements, American Axle Manufacturing is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in March.

American Axle Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. American Axle has an asset utilization ratio of 121.05 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.21 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that American Axle Manufacturing is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
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Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

American Axle Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from American Axle's financial statements, American Axle Manufacturing is yielding more profit at this time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess American Axle's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1999-03-31
Previous Quarter
39.3 M
Current Value
9.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
126 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, American Axle's Pretax Profit Margin is quite stable compared to the past year. Operating Profit Margin is expected to rise to 0.05 this year, although the value of Gross Profit will most likely fall to about 524.1 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.0880.11
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
For American Axle profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of American Axle Manufa to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well American Axle utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between American Axle's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of American Axle over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

American Axle Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of American Axle is estimated to be 0.17465 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.1425 to a high of 0.2375. American Axle's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 0.34. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for American Axle Manufacturing is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
American Axle is projected to generate 0.17465 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. American Axle earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected American Axle EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on American Axle's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as American Axle, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

American Axle Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of American Axle's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of American Axle is estimated to be 0.17465 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.1425 to a high of 0.2375. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for American Axle Manufacturing is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.14
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.17465
0.24
Highest

American Axle Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of American Axle's value are higher than the current market price of the American Axle stock. In this case, investors may conclude that American Axle is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and American Axle's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
937.19%
0.0
0.17465
0.34

American Axle Ownership Allocation

The majority of American Axle Manufacturing outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in American Axle Manufa to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in American Axle. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of American Axle Manufacturing as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

American Axle Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.12 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 33.8 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 717.9 M.

About American Axle Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Axle Manufacturing. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of American Axle Manufa based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing American Axle's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of American Axle's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of American Axle. We calculate exposure to American Axle's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of American Axle's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit852.6 M524.1 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 
Operating Profit Margin 0.05  0.05 
Net Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 
Gross Profit Margin 0.11  0.09 

American Axle Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as American Axle does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding121.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.125
Forward Price Earnings11.3895

American Axle Current Valuation Indicators

American Axle's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final American Axle's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as American Axle, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use American Axle's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes American Axle's worth.
When determining whether American Axle Manufa is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Axle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Axle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Axle Manufacturing. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index.
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Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Axle. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive American Axle assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
Earnings Share
0.34
Revenue Per Share
49.395
Return On Assets
0.0295
Return On Equity
0.0628
The market value of American Axle Manufa is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Axle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Axle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Axle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Axle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that American Axle's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American Axle represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, American Axle's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.